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Anovate
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Predictive Analytics

Forecasts and propensity models that tell you where to spend effort.

Forecasting and propensity models for churn, upsell and demand, with clear confidence ranges — built from solid baselines and features engineered from your product, CRM and billing data.

How we work

  1. 01

    Establish the baseline

    A simple rule is the benchmark. If a model can't beat 'customers who haven't logged in for 30 days', it isn't ready to influence spend.

  2. 02

    Engineer features

    Behavioural signals — purchase frequency, time since last login, support interactions — alongside lifecycle and demographic variables.

  3. 03

    Train and validate

    Cross-validation and AUC/ROC, reported honestly. We tell you the confidence range, not just the headline accuracy.

  4. 04

    Operationalise

    A score nobody acts on is a science project. Predictions land in the tool your team already works in, with a defined next step per risk band.

What changes

  • Retention spend aimed at the accounts actually at risk
  • Forecasts with honest uncertainty instead of a single misleading number
  • Predictions that reach an owner with an action attached